Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.221291 0.264139 0.312260 0.370188 0.437906 0.514436 0.607350
2025-02-16 0.154144 0.207857 0.275068 0.364840 0.481036 0.625723 0.818828
2025-02-23 0.114877 0.169912 0.244600 0.352341 0.502545 0.703077 0.989312
2025-03-02 0.087797 0.140533 0.217201 0.335169 0.510071 0.757299 1.129964
2025-03-09 0.075106 0.128605 0.211055 0.344984 0.553976 0.863626 1.351666
2025-03-16 0.060582 0.110667 0.192272 0.331797 0.560221 0.913802 1.494512
2025-03-23 0.053127 0.102764 0.187696 0.339551 0.598705 1.015236 1.723840
2025-03-30 0.046704 0.095365 0.182549 0.345080 0.633354 1.113042 1.955855
2025-04-06 0.040045 0.086239 0.172814 0.340900 0.650329 1.182649 2.147210
2025-04-13 0.034600 0.078422 0.164163 0.337172 0.667042 1.252527 2.344387
2025-04-20 0.031636 0.075092 0.163467 0.348036 0.711092 1.373496 2.640461
2025-04-27 0.030978 0.076539 0.172345 0.378457 0.794854 1.572661 3.092676
2025-05-04 0.028379 0.073452 0.171959 0.391210 0.847857 1.723949 3.478213
2025-05-11 0.024715 0.067242 0.164095 0.387598 0.868339 1.816947 3.765464
2025-05-18 0.020934 0.059949 0.152628 0.374492 0.867483 1.868126 3.976638
2025-05-25 0.017438 0.052610 0.139790 0.356330 0.853382 1.890988 4.133314
2025-06-01 0.016080 0.050656 0.139429 0.366716 0.902482 2.046758 4.570786
2025-06-08 0.013647 0.045178 0.129449 0.352762 0.895201 2.083889 4.766774
2025-06-15 0.012571 0.043395 0.128599 0.360967 0.939650 2.235015 5.214550
2025-06-22 0.011508 0.041420 0.126919 0.366817 0.979109 2.378610 5.657860
2025-06-29 0.010176 0.038296 0.121581 0.362394 0.993112 2.466606 5.986711
2025-07-06 0.009027 0.035500 0.116692 0.358450 1.007762 2.557192 6.328576
2025-07-13 0.008488 0.034666 0.117389 0.369945 1.062882 2.746310 6.908963